If the goal is to see orcas, I'd probably jump in one of the power boat whale watch tours. This would icnrease your chances exponentially.
If the goal is to paddle with a chance of orcas, then maybe hit one up (can't recommend one).
I am not an expert on the area, but I have paddled various places on the Salish sea area for about 10 days total (including 1 day from Victoria itself), and have never seen orcas from kayaks. I think it more the exception than the norm.
Did see a gray whale 2 summers ago from shore off the SW side of Victoria, so you never know. More and more gray whales are becoming residents over the summer and not going all the way to Alaska any more.
Canoe / Kayak Anchors
Touring Kayak Paddles
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