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  Signs of Spring's Approach
  Posted by: vic on Feb-18-13 9:59 PM (EST)
 

Getting the first signs of spring approaching. Heard the cardinal that lives in the tree outside our bedroom window singing for the first time this year.

Had about five days with highs in the forties to fifty until today, and the ice on the pond melted enough to leave some open spots.

Had two swans and some geese show up at the pond this morning:

http://www.pbase.com/canoevic/spring_approaches_our_pond_2013

But it was only a tease. It was 42 about 10:30 this morning, then dropped to about 32 by 1pm. It's 22 degrees right now. Forecast calls for a low of 2 below tomorrow night, and forecast highs are not expected to get above freezing for at least the next 10 days.

However, looking on the bright side it's only about 10 weeks till the Spring Ozark Rendezvous. Maybe we'll get some significant rain by then so we can canoe some rivers.

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Messages in this Topic

 
  good news
  Posted by: kayamedic on Feb-18-13 10:02 PM (EST)
I tried to walk the dog down to and on the lake without my wearing snowshoes. DOH. 60 mph winds over two days had made massive drifts.
 
 
  Cardinals here too
  Posted by: guideboatguy on Feb-18-13 11:02 PM (EST)
Cardinals seem to perk up on clear, sunny days, and I've been hearing them for a couple of weeks, even on cold days, as long as it's bright outside. Yesterday there was one in the top of my big maple, and one in the top of my next-door neighbor's maple, and the two of them were having a shouting match. They still have plenty of time to get their territories figured out.
 
 
  aah its Canoecopia time
  Posted by: kayamedic on Feb-18-13 11:41 PM (EST)
The one time I was there I enjoyed the tropics of Madison, before returning home to the fridge.

It's two months to ice out..
 
 
  Heard a cardinal again this morning, ...
  Posted by: guideboatguy on Feb-19-13 11:59 AM (EST)
... even though it was cloudy, very windy with blowing snow, and 8 degrees and still getting colder. He was calling with a lot less enthusiasm today.
 
 
  Yesterday
  Posted by: PJC on Feb-19-13 7:26 AM (EST)
sure did feel like spring. I was in the city helping a friend who does radon mitigation with one of his jobs. Streets were flowing with meltwater (over packed ice). Wished I hadn't worn the long johns. On the way home I stopped by Rutabaga to get some extra Canoecopia schedules and ran into a friend there. Chatted for 45 min in the parking lot, getting the news, just like it was full out summer. (They HAVE NOT, btw, yet broken ground for the sand mine and the friend, for what its worth, is still drafting petitions to stop them on the riverway - so I guess it was some good news.)

But there's a dusting of fresh snow on the ground now and its nippy, for sure. Guess I can't put the shovel away just yet. But at least its not like Maine...;-)

Sure do look forward to going to the 'vous. That's now when and where I usually see my first spring wildflowers. (Pasque flowers excepted.) I suppose there's still some time to trim the broken limbs on the oaks before the sap starts flowing and flowers get compacted underfoot while hauling out the wood.
 
 
  Earliest I've Seen Daffodils...
  Posted by: wildernesswebb on Feb-19-13 11:16 AM (EST)
....ever. A Few started popping up about 10 days ago.
http://www.pbase.com/ozarkpaddler/image/148860846
 
 
  Wow, that's early
  Posted by: PJC on Feb-19-13 12:50 PM (EST)
We've had more than our share of warm weather, but nothing green is yet emerging - no budding, nothing like that. My yard, on the north slope of a large hill, is still well and truely buried under snow.
I haven't seen much in the way spring birds yet either, though the river's been open, at least in certain stretches, and geese and swans are there to be seen. I'm not convinced they all ever left.
Eagles have been coming up the creek in front of my house lately. I think this might have more to do with overcrowding on the open water at the river than anything weather related. Population along the river is booming according to the latest count.
 
 
  Daffodils
  Posted by: thebob.com on Feb-20-13 1:14 PM (EST)
Yes, we have the daffodils quite early this year.
Have seen a few Cardinals & Robins too.

But late tonight & tomorrow those daffodils are going to get "hammered" by snow, sleet & freezing rain.
The Cardinals & Robins will wish they were elsewhere.

Gas zoomed up 14 cents per gallon (so far) this week.

BOB

 
 
  Saw two red tail hawks together
  Posted by: clarion on Feb-19-13 11:24 AM (EST)
The first geese are staking their claims also
 
 
  bah humbug
  Posted by: kayamedic on Feb-19-13 11:49 AM (EST)
I'm going snowshoeing on the lake to visit some ice fishermen.

Maybe I will dig out my big WalMart fake flower and jam it in the plow bank at the end of the driveway.
 
 
  Yeah, all that stuff
  Posted by: pblanc on Feb-19-13 4:47 PM (EST)
And rapidly rising gas prices too.
 
 
  cardinals stay all winter vic= back into
  Posted by: bigspencer on Feb-19-13 4:53 PM (EST)
depression you go!..LOL It's coming, although with the fluctuations in the weather-streams...northward/southward...I'll tell ya, would surprise me if winter goes out like a lamb...but I wouldn't mind it.
 
 
  Cardinals etc,
  Posted by: vic on Feb-20-13 4:01 PM (EST)
Yeah, the cardinals have been here all winter visiting our bird feeders. However, this was the first time I heard them singing since last fall.

As expected our pond refroze yesterday. The old open water spots are sheer clear ice. There was one immature eagle sitting on the edge of the clear ice, apparently confused because it looked like open water but it was frozen over.

Went out to take a picture of him but he followed the eagle rules and flew too far away every time I put the viewfinder up to my eye. After about two hours we both gave up. I stopped going outside to try to photograph him and he evidently also gave up and flew away.

Winter storm watch going into effect about noon on Thursday. Forecast is for six to ten inches of snow by the time it's over on Friday afternoon.
 
 
  you never shoulda posted that
  Posted by: slushpaddler on Feb-20-13 12:45 PM (EST)
it looks like you got Q's attention.
 
 
  People wearing t-shirts and shorts
  Posted by: string on Feb-20-13 4:47 PM (EST)
while others wear coats.
 
 
  Things are lookin' up
  Posted by: pgeorg on Feb-20-13 4:47 PM (EST)
I have some open water on the pond behind the house, but also a foot of old snow in the path leading to it. By the middle of next week I may slide/carry a boat down there and paddle it around. In the meanwhile I downloaded the registration form for this year's Maine Canoe Symposium. That made it feel like spring. My thanks to all who make that event possible each year.

Peter
 
 
  First Signal
  Posted by: gremmie on Feb-21-13 6:19 AM (EST)
For me it is Red Wing Blackbirds. I have seen and heard them for about a week now.

Buds of Silver Maples expanding. Fox squirrels working them over.

Rising sun races north at a fast pace now. Not long before the big screen fills green.

Burma Shave.

 
 
  good one
  Posted by: slushpaddler on Feb-21-13 9:55 AM (EST)
Made me think of the red and sugar maple buds turning red here.

Ice-out
More chickadees
Robins
Skiing in comfort
No more car covered in salt
 
 
  Spring..................
  Posted by: thebob.com on Feb-22-13 12:05 PM (EST)
My canoes are on the racks in the garage, gathering dust.
My motorcycles are under covers in the garage, and on trickle chargers.
The canoe trip some of us were planning for this weekend fell through; due to the layers of snow, sleet, and freezing rain that is currently covering everything.

Spring............I ain't "feeling it" yet.

BOB
 
 
  Spring Waits For You On a Razor's Edge
  Posted by: canoeswithduckheads on Feb-22-13 2:57 PM (EST)
-- Last Updated: Feb-22-13 3:37 PM EST --

(or As the Whether Men Spin)

All those that wing
migrating spring,
green screens Waits situation

where some still snow
to wince, "Brrr," so,
close shave unknown destination

 
 
  More
  Posted by: guideboatguy on Mar-08-13 10:25 AM (EST)
I was out snowshoeing in the afternoon/evening of our recent snowstorm in a huge marsh near here. At one end of the the big circular route that I traveled, now and then I'd think I heard a sandhill crane, so I'd stop and listen, and just hear Canada geese (which were at the junction of the creek and river by the hundreds, but not making much noise). I never got to hear it clearly, but I can't believe goose sounds would fool me, even when the wind is blowing past my hat and I'm not paying attention. The next day I found out that a friend of a friend heard a sandhill crane a couple days earlier, so a few have arrived. Though I've seen them this time of year, I've never seen them when there's this much snow on the ground.

The morning after the big snowstorm, tracks in the snow indicated that the local skunk is getting too hungry to stay in bed the rest of the winter. I'm not sure what he'll find to eat, but skunk tracks are unmistakable so I know he was out on patrol.

I saw other tracks that I couldn't decipher on account of what time of year it is. They were like tracks of a miniature squirrel, but we don't have red squirrels in town so I figured it was a weasel that was bounding too slowly to make his rear feet land in the same spots as the front feet. Of course, I've never seen weasel tracks in that pattern and we shouldn't even have weasels in town, but what other animal has that same body width and moves in a bounding gait? At any other time of year it would have been obvious. It was a chipmunk! I saw the little guy when I went out to shovel snow and realized he was the one making the tracks. I have never seen a chipmunk this time of year, not even at the end of a mild winter or when we have an exceptionally early spring, so I certainly didn't expect to see one during a normal year with a thick cover of snow on the ground! Like the skunk, he must've gotten hungry, but spillage below bird feeders is perfect for chipmunks so I'm sure he'll do fine. Come to think of it, I bet skunks can chow down on spilled bird seed too.
 
 
  I heard sandhills
  Posted by: fishdoctor on Mar-08-13 12:00 PM (EST)
passing overhead in my area (SW Chicago suburb) about a week ago. Definitely makes me hopeful that spring is just around the corner.
 
 
  Cranes
  Posted by: PJC on Mar-10-13 9:12 AM (EST)
One has been calling in the valley in front of my house for ten days or two weeks now. Just heard him a minute ago. But the call is going out to nobody. No answering calls. The first pioneer, I guess. And it looks like he'll be getting snowed on for the second time tonight. Sometimes there's a price to be paid for being ahead of the game, I suppose.

I'm waiting for the marsh marigolds. That's the SURE sign of spring for me. Never seen snow or serious cold after the marigolds are up. That'll be a while, I think.
 
 
  Three signs of spring
  Posted by: Pirateoverforty on Mar-08-13 10:30 AM (EST)
Tuesday night I walked out on the porch at sunset and heard the bullfrogs singing

Wednesday the Azeleas on my road exploded in purple

Thursday my daughter came by and took my good luggage for spring break
 
 
  Bull frogs? Wow.
  Posted by: guideboatguy on Mar-08-13 10:59 AM (EST)
That's a summer frog here. I think perhaps I may have heard them as early as the last few days of June, but normally not until well into July. I'd have thought that even in a warm climate they'd be "late", in terms of calling activity, but what I'd expect and what really happens where it's that warm could be two different things.
 
 
  I probably should have just said frogs
  Posted by: Pirateoverforty on Mar-08-13 11:48 AM (EST)
The harmony WAS missing the Bass
 
 
  You always have good humor
  Posted by: guideboatguy on Mar-08-13 12:15 PM (EST)
Even the comment about luggage was pretty funny.
 
 
  6 - 10 inches of wet snow tomorrow
  Posted by: taj on Mar-08-13 11:47 AM (EST)
Its spring time in the Rockies. I heard/saw a meadowlark last Sunday. The earliest in any spring that I've recorded. We usually have snow until the lilacs bloom. Its an altitude thing.
 
 
  Springs An Outer Presbytery Predator
  Posted by: canoeswithduckheads on Mar-08-13 1:12 PM (EST)
-- Last Updated: Mar-08-13 2:28 PM EST --

These wintered shadows
long drawn nigh
to vaulted ceiling
begin to die
with noontime's lunch
and window glancing
in squint of sun
returned roof dancing

so now church courtyard
from office view
where pigeons forage
or in oak coo
finds new snow
of failed feathered skulk
spring's migrant passing
stealth Coopers Hawk.

 
 
  spring
  Posted by: poleplant on Mar-08-13 1:28 PM (EST)
The old lawn mowers and bikes are now visible on my neighbors lawn.
 
 
  Felt like Spring.............
  Posted by: thebob.com on Mar-08-13 10:28 PM (EST)
Felt like Spring to me yesterday.

I took one of my motorcycles out for a 50 mile ride.
Got back home, fired up another one & took it out for a 50 mile ride too.
Didn't have to dress up with so many layers of clothes & protective gear that I felt like & looked like the Michelin Man.

I was a happy man.
Was sore this morning.

Still need river time.

BOB
 
 
  Mixed signals
  Posted by: vic on Mar-09-13 10:01 PM (EST)
We had thunderstorms in central Iowa Friday night with plenty of rain to turn the snow into mud. The cardinals were singing in the pauses between the rains on Saturday.

But things have changed. The latest forecast is for about eight inches of snow by Monday. I guess the cardinals will stop singing for a few days.
 
 
  skipping spring this year
  Posted by: joshua78 on Mar-22-13 7:26 AM (EST)
...and summer is still questionable. I'm sure I've just been spoiled by the last few mild winters. Just last week on this day I was canoeing in a T-shirt on the river thinking warmer weather was here. Guess I was just hoping. I've been seeing robins though so it can't be to far away even though there's more snow in the forecast for does Moines.
 
 
  Advection Fog!
  Posted by: guideboatguy on Mar-10-13 12:19 PM (EST)
There's fog everywhere this morning. This kind of fog only happens in winter, but this time of year I see it as a sign of spring (it requires the arrival of lots of warm air over snow, so you see it more in early or late winter than mid winter). I had to go to work to take care of a minor job before going to Canoecopia for the rest of the day, and along the way I saw that the fog over the lower Cherokee Marsh looks just awesome. The river there is frozen, but the view almost made me think about going to the upper marsh and go paddling for real instead of going to show where people are talking about paddling. Hiking would be amazing too right now.
 
 
  Maybe better
  Posted by: magooch on Mar-10-13 1:17 PM (EST)
Yesterday was possibly better than a real spring day, because it was just like summer except a bit cooler. What makes it better? Well, when real spring time weather arrives, so does the freshet and the Columbia besides getting overly full of water to the point that the current no longer reverses on the incoming tide, but often the freshet brings a lot of logs and other debris down. Dodging logs and stuff is challenging, but I like the river the way it is right now.

I grabbed the flood tide yesterday, crossed to the Oregon side and rode upstream for several miles. The ride back downstream was against the current, but it was a great day to be on the river--no logs and no sea lions.
 
 
  paddled 10 miles yesterday. 65 deg!
  Posted by: string on Mar-10-13 7:33 PM (EST)
got a bit pink where I missed with the sunscreen.
 
 
  GRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!
  Posted by: wildernesswebb on Mar-11-13 10:54 AM (EST)
Poor daffodils have been snowed and sleeted on a bunch last 2 weeks. They SAY that Saturday was nice, but I was busy at work? This morning, it's spitting snow. I'm SO READY for this winter to be over. Dad blamed groundhog, you can't ever trust a rodent (LOL)!
 
 
  I got sunburned today.
  Posted by: guideboatguy on Mar-22-13 11:23 PM (EST)
I worked outside most of the day, and the bright sun, probably compounded by snow cover, ended up burning my face a little. I guess that's a sign of spring even if it was only 7 degrees when I got up this morning. I've never gotten sunburned when it's "winter", so surely it must be spring.

 
 
  SURE SIGNS OF SPRING
  Posted by: scupperfrank on Mar-23-13 4:12 PM (EST)
The AC's running about two-thirds of the day, about half the bromeliads are blooming, light-colored shirts are the rule when outdoors for any appreciable time, and sandals are the preferred footwear. Shorts are de rigueur for all outside activities, and hats for those of us with thinning pates are highly recommended, and a tall glass of something cold to drink and a towel are appreciated for yard work.

Skirts begin to get too warm to wear, and dipping hands in the water is a welcome cooling relief -as is rolling, if the water's deep enough..

Cold margaritas on the rocks, and a bit of breeze in the shade, are both looking better and better -not that they ever really looked bad at all...!

But one of the surest and most consistent signs of spring is that JackL & Nanci have taken their kayaks and their little house on wheels and have headed up the Southwest Coast of Florida on their way back home to the Springtime mountains for another year.

We'll know it's winter again when we see them, again, next November when they return again, our favorite snowbirds, next year to the Keys, to once again,

PADDLE ON!

-Frank in Miami
 
 
  Damn
  Posted by: vic on Mar-24-13 12:55 AM (EST)
It's snowing again. Expecting about four inches of snow by the time it stops Monday afternoon. Temps aren't expected to reach 40 until Wednesday. The highest temps in the 10 day forecast will not exceed the low 40's. Just for the record, the average high temp here for this time of year is about 60.

The light at the end of the tunnel has been getting dimmer since I started this thread, but at least this year there's water in the rivers. Last year we had high temps in the 80's in March but there was no water in the rivers.
 
 
  Update
  Posted by: guideboatguy on Apr-04-13 3:03 PM (EST)
This is still the coldest spring we've had in at least a few years I think, but there's progress. Sandhill cranes are here in sizable numbers now (there will be a lot more soon), and pairs of them no longer just stand motionless all day out there in the snow. Now there's a lot of bare ground and they are actively picking through the grass looking for stuff to eat. I saw two crows today flying together, each with a huge mouth-full of dry grass for finishing up their nest. On windy days, red-tailed hawks are paired up and cavorting merrily on the updrafts above steep hillsides. Merganzers and buffleheads are starting to show up in increasing numbers now, and are packed into the small pockets of open water that are appearing. There's even enough open water on my local river to do two different out-and-back trips. That's on my agenda - at least once - over the course of the next few days. Perhaps this gradual warm-up interspersed with extra-cold days is allowing some of this year's ample snow cover to soak in instead of running straight to the nearest ditch or creek, but I'm not sure.
 
 
  Spent The Last Two Days on the Current
  Posted by: wildernesswebb on Apr-04-13 5:08 PM (EST)
First week of April and it still looks and feels pretty much like winter. We had snow flurries off and on Tuesday and water was frozen in water bottle and cook pot left out. Not even a redbud yet. No "Signs" of spring other than a few daffodils, a forsythia or two, high murky water, and ducks dressed in their best "Mating" dress.
http://www.pbase.com/ozarkpaddler/current_april_2013&view=slideshow
 
 
  Starting to look better
  Posted by: vic on Apr-05-13 1:56 AM (EST)
Not greening up yet but some green grasses starting to show up. That's making our horses quite happy.

First Great Blue Heron showed up this week.

Migrating ducks are starting to show up on our pond. So far I've seen Buffleheads, Ring Necks, Mergansers, Scaup, Red Heads, Canvasbacks, Pintails, Goldeneye,and Mallards.

Looking at my records the Pelicans usually stop by on our pond during migration sometime between April 1st and April 26th, but I have not seen any yet this year.

Forecast calls for high temps to hit 70 Saturday through Monday, but then drop down to the 50's in the rest of the ten day forecast. Good sign is that the ten day forecast has lows above freezing except for a forecast low of 28 next Wednesday.

I put the racks back on the car today and may even get the canoe on the water this weekend if the rain and winds in the forecast don't get in the way.
 
 
  Winter keeps me hangin on
  Posted by: vic on Apr-10-13 2:51 PM (EST)
Snow in the forecast for Thursday night.

Still no canoeing for me since the last Fall Ozark Rendezvous. Good thing the Spring Ozark Rendezvous is only about three weeks away.
 
 
  Spring is definitely here
  Posted by: davbart on Apr-11-13 2:43 PM (EST)
Temps in the 80's and a Water Moccassin/Cottonmouth swimming across the lake as I paddled by.
 
 
  4 -6 inches of spring tomorrow..
  Posted by: kayamedic on Apr-11-13 2:51 PM (EST)
at least I could paddle today in candled ice.
 
 
  One advantage of living in the south
  Posted by: davbart on Apr-11-13 9:26 PM (EST)
You can always paddle.
 
 
  Getting close...
  Posted by: PJC on Apr-11-13 5:07 PM (EST)
Still no marsh marigolds, but I saw a flicker today. Wetlands are flooding, creeks at their banks, willows are taking on that pre-leafing color. The river is roaring over the forested parts of islands and there is no landing at Peck's Landing.

Believe it nor not, I saw two LOONS(!) on the river in Sauk City last weekend. Just passing through, no doubt, but loons for sure. Great Blue Herons are everywhere now and there are several pair of cranes raising a ruckus in the valley in front of my house. Have been for the last couple weeks. Daffodils and tulips have broken ground but not flowered. Saw some crocus flowering last week, though.
But there are still patches of snow on my north-facing slope of a yard and there are snow showers forecast for tomorrow... but its getting close. I can smell it...
 
 
  More
  Posted by: Guideboatguy on Apr-11-13 6:19 PM (EST)
-- Last Updated: Apr-11-13 7:18 PM EST --

I think it was two evenings ago I heard the first chorus frogs of the year. At that time, most of the nearby ponds still had some ice on them, so this must have been a shallow wet spot that warmed up quicker. Now the ice is almost all gone, as is most of the snow, and things will warm quickly once the sun shines again.

Speaking of ice melting, last weekend I went out on the upper Yahara River into the Cherokee Marsh. As I expected, the widest part of the river, where it's contiguous with a dredged lake, had ice from bank to bank. As I was looking to see if there was a place to get a boat through, six white pelicans came in for a landing. I thought to myself, "I've never seen pelicans arrive here before the ice was gone." Well, pelicans apparently know more about ice than I do. I headed upriver and three hours later when I returned, nearly all of the ice was gone. Instead of a quarter mile or more expanse of ice, there was a band along one bank that was 20 to 50 yards wide. I think the ice must have been pretty well interspersed with water, and I found little patches farther downstream that I could force the boat into, but I've never observed how quickly it melts at that stage. I've probably never seen it because it's over and done with in such an incredibly short time. Just this week, our second-biggest lake went from ice covered to wide-open. Same process I guess.

 
 
  And they call them birdbrains
  Posted by: kayamedic on Apr-11-13 9:45 PM (EST)
Loons here arrived within two hours of the opening of a large expanse of open water. They really do know when to land; though I have heard of some mistakes such as wet runways.

We have seen lone birds fly over in the week before the ice goes out..so they do have scouts. But our loons have a very short migration; less than 20 miles. Have no idea how the Midwest loons do their timing.
 
 
  Not in MN
  Posted by: jhb8426 on Apr-13-13 12:09 AM (EST)
Had about 6 in. of snow the last couple of days and the lakes haven't shown much sign of melting. Lakes up north still have 2-3 ft of ice. Another possible snow storm Sunday "up nort".
 
 
  Spring finally made it to the Ozarks
  Posted by: mississippi_dan on Apr-15-13 8:42 PM (EST)
Redbuds are blooming in the Current and Jack Fork River area. I saw trout lilies and a few bluebells in bloom along the Jacks Fork on Sunday. Just today my wife found one small early morel mushroom. Dogwoods should be out next weekend.
Dan
 
 
  At least it wasn't snow
  Posted by: vic on Apr-18-13 10:52 AM (EST)
Had two inches in my rain gauge between 6pm Tuesday night and 6pm Wednesday night. Added another two and two tenths of an inch between 6pm last night and 9:30 this morning. At least it wasn't snow. Rule-of-thumb conversion would make that about forty inches of snow instead of four inches of rain.

High temps today are forecast for mid forties, and the forecast low tonight is in the thirties with a chance of snow flurries.

Glad I'm heading south to the Ozarks in a week and a half where the Redbuds are in bloom.
 
 
  Of course, it never IS snow
  Posted by: guideboatguy on Apr-18-13 3:28 PM (EST)
What I mean is, we frequently hear about how "x" amount of rain from a winter rainstorm would have been "y" amount of snow, yet we never, ever, get "y" amount of snow. I think maybe in our neck of the woods the colder weather systems that produce snow instead of rain just don't have the potential to either collect or drop as much moisture as what happens in big, warmer-weather storms. Right now I guess that's a good thing, but sometimes in winter I wish it weren't the case. As someone who enjoys winter and likes snow, I'm usually looking with envy on lands to the north.
 
 
  Eric
  Posted by: vic on Apr-18-13 9:49 PM (EST)
You are mostly right. Snow that falls in colder temperatures convert to less water than snow that falls in warmer temperatures. The last three snows I observed here fell with temps between 30 and 33.

Another factor affecting the amount of measured snowfall is the amount of updraft and downdraft in the clouds producing the precipitation. For instance earlier this year we had a forecast for eight inches of snow. But because of the lack of updrafts and downdrafts in the clouds the snow fell in a tubular hexagonal shape more like snow grains rather than the more common fluffy type snow flake. It therefore results in a lesser snow depth.
 
 
  Al Gore
  Posted by: devilssoninlaw on Apr-20-13 7:13 AM (EST)
is still my hero.....I bet he could make millions more if he sounds the alarms on global cooling!
 
 
  Simple explanations ignore reality
  Posted by: Guideboatguy on Apr-20-13 1:53 PM (EST)
-- Last Updated: Apr-20-13 5:32 PM EST --

There ARE good reasons to still have have huge variations in weather from year to year, and an overall warming trend does not do-away with these processes. There's even good evidence that the rapid warming trend we are experiencing will in some cases accentuate regional differences in weather extremes, which of course could increase yearly variation in weather as well. Failure to see this is exactly the same as when Rush Limbaugh used to endlessly rant and rave that the hole in the ozone layer couldn't have been caused by industrial pollutants because the greatest reduction in ozone was over Antarctica and there are no cars or factories there. Of course, he was counting on the average listener to be too stupid to realize that there are current streams and eddies in the atmosphere, or at least be too slow-witted to bring their knowledge of such facts into play when deciding whether his brand of logic was realistic or not. After all these years, I still know people who believe all that he says about such things without regard to whether the supporting logic makes sense (in those days when I listened to him regularly, I noticed that his expertise in forestry was equally "impressive"). Anyway, the upper atmosphere, important in that particular example, has a much different pattern of streams and eddies than the part of the atmosphere that controls our weather, but to not see the importance of these lower-level streams and eddies in how weather can vary so much is silly since we wouldn't even have weather without them. I've heard that this latest bout of cool weather was mostly due to eastward-moving arctic air getting diverted to the south by an enormous stalled weather system over Greenland, and apparently the width of the cold air stream that got diverted was 1000s of miles wide. River paddlers see such divergences in bands of current all the time, so it shouldn't be hard to visualize this sort of thing happening in the atmosphere.

Oh, by the way, the fact that part of North America has been so much cooler than normal this spring is a long way from "global" cooling. Plenty of other places on earth have not been cooler, even if we were.

 

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