individual vs group risks not exactly the same IMHO.
For the group I would have put it a medium to high. Why? not know their skill set.
I observed a loosely formed, seemingly cavalier and at least partilly ill equiped group heading out in shetchy conditions. Didnt mention current was estimated at 4 knots that day.
some of the guys commented afterwards that it had been the worst conditions they had been in. Some spoke of multiple capsizes and had not been able to fish saying they would not have gone out had they correctly guaged the conditions.
I understand assessing conditions becomes an individual situation regarding skill and experience after basic safety issues that all should consider.
An important point here I believe is the group factor. Having paddled in many groups but never having led one I am of the belief that the group is only as safe or strong as the weakest member.
I could have gone out and have in worse, but the group itself played as much a factor, maybe more than the weather.
Understand of course that weaker, less experienced paddlers can and probably should expand their parameters when afforded the chance by paddling with a more experienced group.
I think as a community we should be conscious that due to the huge growth of our sport of choice there will be many poor decisions made by "paddlers". I would rather hear about a great new spot than read about some unfortunate mishap.
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