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  good to know there are clues
  Posted by: jcbikeski on Sep-26-12 10:55 AM (EST)

I've been a long fan of watching the little patterns and combining that with larger forecasts. Knowing that certain conditions upped the chances of bad things and knowing the amount of error in forecasts (how much quicker a storm may arrive compared to the forecast). So basically there are ways to know even if not nearly 100% perfect. Generally in a new area my normal plan is to talk to locals and ideally do a trip with locals to learn more about what to watch for then I'm a bit safer doing things on my own the other days especially if I add a goodly margin for error.

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